Use of Classification Trees to Investigate Traits of Invasive Species

Which traits make an alien species invasive?
Due to what traits an alien species becomes established in a foreign flora?


This kind of questions could be analysed by the use of recursive partitioning and classification trees..
(the below example also includes some useful data manipulation techniques)...

Comparing Two Distributions

Here I compare two distributions, flowering duration of indigenous and allochtonous plant species. The hypothesis is that alien compared to indigenous plant species exhibit longer flowering periods.

Test Difference between Two Proportions & Plot Confidence Intervals

..an illustrative example for testing proportions and presenting the results.

the data: number of indigenous and alien plant species with and without vegetative reproduction (N = 3399, mid-european species, data-courtesy: BiolFlor) . Hypothesis: The proportion of species with vegetative reproduction is different between alien and indigenuos plant species.

result:  the prop. of plants with veg. reproduction is sign. lower for alien compared to indigenous plant species. this is simply due to the large number of agricultural weeds and contaminants within alien species - these species almost always reproduce by seeds.

## data:
dat <- data.frame(list(structure(list(flstat = structure(c(2L, 1L, 2L, 1L),
.Label = c("allo", "auto"), class = "factor"),
reprod = structure(c(1L, 1L, 2L, 2L),
.Label = c("non-veg", "veg"), class = "factor"),
X = c(872L, 423L, 1872L, 232L)),
.Names = c("flstat", "reprod", "X"),
class = "data.frame", row.names = c(NA, -4L))))

## proportion of species with vegetative reproduction
p_allo <- dat$X[4] / (dat$X[2] + dat$X[4])
p_auto <- dat$X[3] / (dat$X[1] + dat$X[3])
p_allo
p_auto

## restructure data for glm:
dat1 <- dat[rep(1:4, dat$X), 1:2]
head(dat1)
dat1$inc <- ifelse(dat1$reprod == "non-veg", 0, 1)

## glm:
summary(gmod <- glm(inc ~ flstat, data = dat1, family = binomial))

## intercept = logit(p_allo):
print(est_p_allo <- plogis(gmod$coef[1]))

## intercept + b = logit(p_allo+p_auto):
print(est_p_auto <- plogis(gmod$coef[1] + gmod$coef[2]))

## alternatively test difference in two proportions with prop.test():
ptest_diff <- prop.test(x = c(dat$X[1], dat$X[2]),
                        n = c(dat$X[1] + dat$X[3], dat$X[2] + dat$X[4]))

## only for one proportion prop.test gives you the confidence
## intervals of p.
## (you could also extract the glm-standard errors and calculate
## the conf.int. for this purpose..):
ptest_auto <- prop.test(x = dat$X[3], n = dat$X[1] + dat$X[3])
ptest_allo <- prop.test(x = dat$X[4], n = dat$X[2] + dat$X[4])

## plot with confidence intervals from prop.test
## (see methods in ?prop.test):

## coordinates for plotting confidence interval bars:
y0_al <- ptest_allo$conf[1]
y1_al <- ptest_allo$conf[2]
y0_au <- ptest_auto$conf[1]
y1_au <- ptest_auto$conf[2]

library(grid)
library(lattice)

## panel function for suppressing tck at top and right side,
## drawing bar with confidence interval,
## plotting glm-estimates (the crosses)
mpanel = function(...) {grid.segments(x0 = c(0.2725, 1 - 0.2725),
                                      x1 = c(0.2725, 1 - 0.2725),
                                      y0 = c(y0_al, y0_au),
                                      y1 = c(y1_al, y1_au))
                        panel.points(x = c(0.8, 2.2),
                                    y = c(est_p_allo, est_p_auto), pch = 4)
                        panel.abline(h = c(p_allo, p_auto), lty = 15,
                                     col = "grey70")
                        panel.text(x = 1.5, y = 0.9, cex = 1.2,
                                   "Species With\nVegetative Reproduction");
                        panel.xyplot(...)}

xyplot(c(p_allo, p_auto) ~ as.factor(c("Alien", "Indigenous")), type = "b",
       ylab = "Prop. +/- CIs\nX = GLM-Estimates",
       xlab = "", ylim = c(0, 1),
       panel = mpanel, pch = 16,
       scales = list(alternating = 1, tck = c(1, 0)))